The Indian economy continues to advance, according to an RBI article

MUMBAI: Positive high-frequency indicators and consumer confidence show that the Indian economy is advancing and emerging from the shackles of the pandemic, according to an article on the economic situation published in RBI Bulletin on Wednesday.
The recovery is led by an increase in private investment up to November-December as well as a trend reversal in bank borrowing and high investments by the state sector (central and state).
In connection with this, the employment situation has brightened, according to the article written by RBI officials.
“The outlook remains optimistic, although there are concerns about the spread of the new Omicron variant,” she added.
The article goes on to say that aggregate demand indicators point to a sustained recovery across all sectors, but with signs of a sequential slowdown.
Even if the generation of GST invoices for electronic journeys remained above pre-pandemic levels, there was a sequential decline in November due to the Christmas fatigue in the first half of November. The generation of e-waybills, however, picked up speed again in December (until December 12) and recorded strong growth compared to the previous month.
“The end of the Christmas season was reflected in a moderate growth dynamic in oil consumption, led by a decline in diesel, although gasoline consumption remained above pre-pandemic levels and fuel for aircraft turbines saw a steady increase in November 2021,” it says Article.
The RBI made it clear that the views expressed in the article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Reserve Bank of India.
The authors went on to say that global supply chain and logistics disruptions continue to weigh heavily on the domestic automotive sector. The delivery bottlenecks slowed the sale of motor vehicles during the Christmas season.
The global economy remains hostage to heightened uncertainty, with Omicron unleashing new containment measures.
The Indian economy rebounded strongly in the second quarter of 2021-22, with GDP surpassing pre-pandemic levels and inflation broadly aligning with the target.
A lot of incoming high frequency indicators look optimistic and consumer confidence is gradually returning. Overall demand conditions point to a sustained recovery, albeit with some signs of a sequential slowdown, it said.
“The Indian economy is advancing and coming out of the shackles of the pandemic,” says the article.
According to this, the sustained recovery will be driven by a combination of factors.
High frequency indicators include passenger car sales, freight movements, electronic waybills and the PMI index.
Going forward, the authors said the advent of the Omicron strain increased uncertainty in the global macroeconomic environment and accelerated risks to world trade with the resumption of travel restrictions / quarantine rules in major ports and airports.

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