Ram Temple, Nitish Kumar. What next? BJP's Lok Sabha election plans in full swing | Latest News India

The race for the 2024 Lok Sabha elections has begun with the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party and the opposition pulling out all the stops. However, the momentum currently lies with the ruling party.

Several reasons are attributed to the fact that the momentum in the race for the 2024 Lok Sabha election is drifting in favor of the BJP for now. (PTI)

The inauguration of the Ram temple in Ayodhya, one of the BJP's biggest clarion calls, the Supreme Court verdict abrogating Article 370, divisions in the INDIA bloc and the political turmoil in Bihar all speak in the ruling party's favor.

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A column in the United Kingdom Guardian Citing political analysts, a hat-trick is predicted for the BJP. Given the country's current political landscape, it appears to be a plausible outcome, they said. Despite some resistance to the BJP in parts of southern and eastern India, the opposition at the national level appears to be “weak” and “fragmented”.

What is giving the BJP a boost?

Supreme Court judgment abrogating Article 370

One of the BJP's electoral goals ahead of the 2019 Lok Sabha elections was to abolish the “special status” of Jammu and Kashmir by repealing Article 370 of the Constitution. This happened on August 6, 2019. The Supreme Court upheld the government's decision on December 11, 2023.

The apex court's verdict gave a major boost to the BJP while also dealing a blow to the opposition, which had targeted the ruling party in the decision.

Much of the BJP's victory after the verdict was due to the disagreements among members of the INDIA bloc. One of its members, the Aam Aadmi Party, supported the abrogation of Article 370 in 2019. Meanwhile, the Left had pushed for the reinstatement of special status, somewhat at odds with the Congress' stand. Although the Congress opposed the central government's move, it never demanded re-implementation of the article.

Inauguration of Ram Temple

It was the BJP's long-term promise to build a Ram temple in Ayodhya. The temple dedication has galvanized voters across the country, which some political strategists believe could result in more than 400 seats for the party in the Lok Sabha with a 50% vote share – a target that Union Home Minister Amit Shah last set year of his term as party leader.

PM Modi's positioning at the center of the Ram temple construction has played its part. From laying the foundation stone to attending the temple's inauguration ceremony as a 'Yajman', the Prime Minister is the frontrunner in India's ongoing march in India's economic, political and strategic areas in line with religious fervor, according to the BJP.

Split in the INDIA bloc

The opposition's aim to take on the BJP in the upcoming national elections appears to have suffered a setback after the Congress, one of the key members of the INDIA bloc, faced unprecedented roadblocks during the ongoing Bharat Jodo Nyay Yatra in West Bengal was confronted. INDIA bloc ally Trinamool Congress and the state unit of Congress are at odds over seat-sharing talks for the assembly elections, prompting Mamata Banerjee to “go it alone” in the state polls.

Meanwhile, another ally, the Aam Aadmi Party in Punjab, is reluctant to agree with the Congress on seat sharing, further deepening the rift within the coalition.

But the INDIA bloc was dealt a major blow on Sunday when its leader JD(U) chief Nitish Kumar dissolved the 'Mahagathbandhan' coalition in the state as CM resigned and joined the BJP.