Is Xi Jinping hesitant to meet Biden because of China’s economic decline? That’s what analysts say

Bisnis.comJAKARTA – A number of analysts argue that the domestic economy is declining China and the fear of being embarrassed United States of America (The US) could prevent President Xi Jinping from meeting with him Joe Biden Late 2023, when China is considering a summit between the two leaders.

Still, they argue that recent interactions between senior Chinese and U.S. officials and a renewed desire for Chinese stability have raised expectations for a Xi-Biden meeting.

As CNA reported on Monday (02/10/2023), the two countries are trying to reach a diplomatic compromise that could pave the way for a meeting between the two leaders at the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit in San Francisco End of 2023.

According to a report in the South China Morning Post, China has not confirmed Xi’s participation in the November meeting because it has not received certain commitments from the US, including avoiding actions deemed provocative.

On Tuesday (September 26, 2023), Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi said that his party is communicating with all parties about Xi’s presence at the summit and a decision will be announced in due course.

Wang said China hopes the US can show openness, fairness, inclusiveness and responsibility to create better conditions for the summit to be successful.

On the other hand, Daniel Russel, a former US diplomat who advised Biden in previous meetings with Xi, said China often does not clearly explain the presence of its leaders as a means of maintaining its influence.

“They believe that showing enthusiasm will benefit other parties. “In the meantime, participation in APEC will be seen as encouraging other parties to act with restraint,” said Russel, who is currently vice president of the Asia Society Policy Institute.

Robert Daly, director of the Kissinger Institute on China and the United States, argues that China wants a less volatile relationship with the US, but in no particular way.

According to him, the Chinese government wants guarantees that the US will not embarrass Xi before the APEC meeting. Things like the White House’s criticism of China, support for Taiwan and announcements of further export restrictions against China could be interpreted as disingenuous moves that could embarrass or offend Xi.

“Every time the US imposes export controls, criticizes China’s human rights record and calls Xi a dictator, his presence becomes less likely,” Daly said.

Shi Yinhong, a professor of international relations at Renmin University in Beijing, said it was likely that China considered various factors when deciding whether Xi should attend.

China’s slowing economy may be one of the reasons Xi has been unable to attend international forums, most of which focus on the global economy, including the APEC forum and the recently concluded G20 summit in India.

Xi did not attend the final meeting and sent Prime Minister Li Qiang instead.

“China’s economy is in some trouble and the Chinese leadership expects that countries, especially Western countries, will speak negatively about the economic downturn,” Shi said.

If he attends the APEC meeting, Xi may also have to deal with difficult parties, as China has relatively complicated relations with the countries that will attend the summit. These include Southeast Asian countries, which he believes have developed a bias toward the United States in recent years.

Shi also stated that the Xi-Biden meeting would not bring much benefit. He noted that US-China relations have deteriorated and deteriorated since Xi’s last meeting with Biden on the sidelines of the G20 summit in Indonesia in November.

This could strengthen China’s belief that strained relations between the two countries would not change even if the two leaders met again, he said.

Russell agrees. According to him, Xi may be wondering whether meeting Biden in San Francisco could bring significant and lasting benefits.

For more news and articles, visit Google News

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